Our product is in the form of a picture
(2), which shows the projected quotes,
and first, the real quotation from which further the actual forecast (forecast quotes
in accordance with the distance from the left edge, the step corresponds to the step of the
data by which and the forecast was made). the forecast is probabilistic. so check out
risk warning before using our products. Our product is a forecast based on a program written by us.
In general, for the proposed Technical analysis based on our mathematical (statistical methods)
calculations. Technical analysis
- predicting quotes on mathematical calculations, in order to earn money before the era
of computers, due to the complexity of the calculations, there was no use for analyzing
the dynamics of quotes, only manually using slide rulers, lines were drawn, primitive patterns
were found. this is how trends, patterns and patterns were discovered. the era of computers made
it possible to use statistical methods on large databases of quotes for previous periods
to predict dynamics. the general axioms of technical analysis are known. - the market takes
into account everything (any factor is learned by the market and is included in the quotation),
- quotes move directionally (in a trend) (1. Bullish - the quote moves up 2. Bearish
- the quote moves down 3. Flat Sideways - the quote practically does not change) ,
- the history of quotes is repeated (the invariability of the laws of nature makes it possible
to predict). you can predict quotes for any markets and different time periods using the same
mathematical method. Functional analysis - forecasting quotes based on causal relationships with
economic events. different markets are different events, not universal. not all causes can
be identified in a timely manner. the same reasons can lead to diametrically opposite consequences.
however, it would be a mistake to refuse to monitor for possible causes (links to pending event
logs).
The purpose of the analysis is to determine the probable direction of the quotes dynamics and the
validity period of this direction, as well as the amplitude of the quotes movement. Having
determined all this, you can trade with a certain probability. without a computer, it is easier
to analyze graphical information than text or digital information. but now there are computers.
therefore, we do not consider technical analysis based on charts (for those who are interested
- link).
In the example shown in the picture
(1), 300 data (quotes) are used for forecasting, and 100 quotes are
used as benchmarks to compare the forecast. after a visual check for the coincidence of the forecast
and the control data, the forecast curve is shifted so that the last quote of the data coincides
with the first one in the picture in the forecasts per 100 units (quotes). More than 300 quotes are
used in real calculations.